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| Method | Description | |--------|-------------| | | The book is available as an official PDF and EPUB through major retailers including Amazon, Google Play, and Apple Books. | | Borrow from a library | Many public libraries offer the ebook through apps like Libby, OverDrive, or Hoopla. You can also check your local library's physical collection. | | Listen to the audiobook | The Audible version includes a bonus PDF of charts and graphs. This is a great way to absorb the material on the go. | | Read authorized summaries | Platforms like Shortform, getAbstract, and Blinkist offer detailed summaries that capture the core ideas. | | Explore open-source educational materials | Some GitHub repositories contain notes, summaries, and even AI skills built around the Thinking in Bets framework—these are legal and often quite valuable. One such repository offers a "thinking-in-bets" agent skill for decision-making under uncertainty, focusing on separating decision quality from outcomes and avoiding cognitive biases. |

Thinking in bets is not about being a gambler; it's about being a rational, adaptable, and informed decision-maker.

: Replace "I'm sure" with "I'm 70% confident". This forces you to acknowledge what you don't know and makes you more open to updating your beliefs when new evidence appears. Actionable Strategies Notes on Thinking in Bets. By Annie Duke | by Aidan Hornsby